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An election to watch tomorrow

There's an election tomorrow worth keeping an eye on. The Wisconsin Supreme Court election has turned into a proxy battle for the union busting "budget repair bill" Scott Walker rammed through.

The fate of Wisconsin governor Scott Walker's Budget Repair Bill may hang in the balance Tuesday, when the state's voters head to the polls. The April 5 election, which pits conservative supreme court justice David Prosser against liberal assistant attorney general JoAnne Kloppenburg, will determine whether judicial conservatives or liberal activists have a 4-3 majority on the highest court in the state.

In a typical year, Prosser would win another 10-year term in a walk. But 2011 is far from typical. The left and unions are angry and energized over the Budget Repair Bill that curtailed the collective bargaining power of public employee unions. And while a Prosser victory is possible, all of that energy means that Kloppenburg is favored to win tomorrow's very low turnout election--historically, only about 20 percent of the state's voters show up to the polls in springtime elections.

It's been an ugly campaign as you can see from this recent ad

Prosser was elected in 2001, unopposed with 549,860 votes. In a 2007 election for the Wisconsin Supreme Court, the winner prevailed 487,422 votes to 342,371.

What to look for tomorrow? It would have been a stunning upset for Kloppenburg to win, so that's the first test of how organized and angry pro-middle class voters are. But also keep an eye on the votes cast for each - that will give us a rough indication of the effects these labor busting moves are having on real voters, in real elections.

LSC Analysis of Education Budget

The Ohio Legislative Services Commision has just released its analysis of the Budget Bill (H.B.153). We have pulled out the Educatiuon section, which you can read here (PDF).

Be sure to also check out the Analysis we posted a few days ago -GOVERNOR’S EXECUTIVE BUDGET PROPOSAL ANALYSIS

ODE Budget Testimony

Budget testimony given by the Ohio Department of Education can be found here
Testimony from ODE - 129th General Assembly

 Date Presented  Bill/Topic of Testimony Legislative Committee Presented To
March 31, 2011

HB 153 (Budget Bill)
Scholarship Programs

House Finance Subcommittee on Primary and Secondary Education
March 31, 2011

HB 153 (Budget Bill)
Teacher Licensure

House Finance Subcommittee on Primary and Secondary Education
March 31, 2011

HB 153 (Budget Bill)
Community Schools

House Finance Subcommittee on Primary and Secondary Education
March 30, 2011

HB 153 (Budget Bill)
Standards, Assessments & Accountability

House Finance Subcommittee on Primary and Secondary Education
March 30, 2011

HB 153 (Budget Bill)
IT, EMIS & Longitudinal Data Systems

House Finance Subcommittee on Primary and Secondary Education
March 30, 2011

HB 153 (Budget Bill)
State System of Support

House Finance Subcommittee on Primary and Secondary Education

ODE also provides constantly updating page of useful budget information and refenercne documents, which can be found here:
FY 12 – FY 13 (HB 153) Budget Information

Pulling the Trigger

Included in this years budget is a radical provision only one other state has recently implemented. The Parent Trigger. The Dispatch gives us a quick explanation

Gov. John Kasich's budget plan would give parents the power to force radical changes on chronically underperforming schools.
[....]
The "parent trigger" would apply to schools that rank in the state's bottom 5 percent in academics for three consecutive school years. If a majority of a school's parents sign a petition demanding change, the school would be forced to accept the reform the parents propose:
  • Converting into a charter school.
  • Replacing at least 70 percent of the staff.
  • Contracting with another school district, an effective nonprofit group or a for-profit group to operate the school.
  • Turning the school's operation over to the Ohio Department of Education.
  • Making "fundamental reforms" to the school's staffing or governance.

The article goes on to include a quote from JTF

Critics say they want parents involved in school reform, but perhaps not like this.

"I don't know how you don't create chaos when you've always got this specter of parents who are dissatisfied in some way saying, 'We're going to initiate this process and reconstitute this school,'" said Scott DiMauro, a Worthington teacher who heads the Central OEA/NEA, a regional union branch. He spoke on behalf of Join the Future, a new group advocating for public schools and teachers.

The Parent trigger has only been used at one California school, and the result was a mess, but before we get to the Compton story, EdWeek suggests that parents will be unlikely to want to use this trigger

Despite the fanfare since the law went into effect in Jan. 2010, few parents have taken advantage of their new leverage to create change. That's not at all surprising. Under the No Child Left Behind Act, which has been in existence since 2002, parents have had the right to transfer their children out of failing schools. But few have done so.

There are several explanations. In 2003, a study by the University of Texas found that parents often chose schools for idiosyncratic reasons, with low-income parents more satisfied with their schools despite low test scores. Echoing this finding, in 2005, the National Center for the Study of Privatization reported that parents frequently opted for schools based on holistic, social, logistic and administrative factors.

So why any concern? Compton.

There has been only one effort so far in California, in Compton, and it has proven highly controversial. California Watch has the story.

The issue of more transparency has emerged as a major source of controversy, and conflict, in response to the stealth campaign organized by Parent Revolution, which was able to gain sufficient signatures from parents at the McKinley Elementary School in Compton Unified School District to turn the school in a charter school, and to designate which charter school company would run it.

The petition was delivered to school district officials, who had no idea the petition drive was even underway, after weeks of signature gathering by Parent Revolution organizers who trolled Compton, knocking randomly on doors and stopping people on the street to locate McKinley parents, or parents from feeder schools.

After the petitions were delivered, many parents asked for their names to be withdrawn, claiming that they weren't fully aware of what they were signing.

So in short. A stealth trigger campaign was started by a for profit business (The Parent Revolution, has close ties to Green Dot public schools, a large charter management organization in Los Angeles) to take over a public school, and they did so by collecting signatures randomly and without properly disclosing their intent. The case is now pending before the courts.

That's the first and only instance of a parent trigger being pulled - and some want this debacle imported to Ohio.

Your Voice is Being Heard Now

For what seemed like week after week, legislators ignored the voices and will of working Ohioans as they plowed forward with their ill thought out assault on teachers, firefighters, police and public employees.

But Sunday marked a major turning point in this fight. Sunday, people from all around Ohio began to have their voice heard, filing into the Columbus OEA building on broad street, and other locations, to sign the "downpayment" petition to repeal S.B.5.


Picture curtesy of Columbus Education Association

With well over the required 1,000 signatures collected, the effort now moves to the SOS and AG to certify the petition before collection of the 231,000 signatures needed to place the repeal on the November ballot begins.

The Dispatch also reports that the Govenor has been hearing the message loud and clear too

the governor received thousands of emails voicing strong opinions on the bill.

The breakdown: 16 percent in favor, 84percent against, according to a Dispatch analysis of more than 14,000 emails obtained through a public-records request.
[...]
A Quinnipiac Poll released March 23 showed a majority of Ohioans opposed to virtually all provisions of the controversial measure. A handful of Republicans joined a solid bloc of Democrats to vote against the bill in the legislature; GOP Senate leaders had to replace two members of a committee just to advance the proposal.

If the depth of sentiment expressed in the emails is any indication, those organizing a petition drive to hold a referendum on the issue in November shouldn't have trouble gathering the approximately 230,000 signatures needed.

Nope. No trouble at all.