SB5 heading for humiliating defeat

PPP has just released the final poll of the campaign and the results show that SB5 is headed for a massive defeat on Tuesday, if the We Are Ohio campaign gets all its voters out to vote.

Democrats are almost unanimous in their opposition to SB 5, supporting repeal by an 86-10 margin. Meanwhile there's division in the Republican ranks- 30% are planning to vote down their Governor's signature proposal while only 66% are supportive of it. Independents split against it by a 54/39 spread as well.

If this margin holds on Tuesday night it will be a humiliating defeat for John Kasich. Kasich continues to be one of the most unpopular Governors in the country with only 33% of voters approving of him to 57% who disapprove.

Poll	For SB5	Against SB5
PPP Mar 15th	31%	54%
Wenzel Apr 12th	38%	51%
Quinnipiac May 18th	36%	54%
PPP May 25th	35%	55%
Quinnipiac Jul 20th	32%	56%
PPP Aug 18th	39%	50%
Quinnipiac Sep 27th	38%	51%
PPP Oct 19th	36%	56%
Quinnipiac Oct 25th	32%	57%
PPP Nov 6th	36%	59%

SB5 Opposition beginning to crush extreme law

A new Quinnipiac poll has terrible numbers for supporters of the extreme SB5 law. Voters are rejecting the law by a margin of 25%, double the margin the same poll measured just a month ago. Voters now support repeal by 57% - 32% - the worst showing of any poll taken to date.

Across nearly every demographic, there is widespread opposition to this law. Even 32% of Republicans oppose SB5

• Men, 54 - 38 percent, and women, 58 - 27 percent;
• Those without college degrees, 56 - 30 percent, and those with degrees, 57 - 37 percent;
• Whites, 54 - 35 percent, and blacks, 76 - 15 percent;
• Voters making over $100,000, 52 - 42 percent, those who earn less, 59 - 30 percent;
• Voters in union households, 70 - 24 percent, non-union households, 52 - 35 percent.

Voters also disagree 57 - 34 percent with Gov. Kasich's argument that the limits on union power are needed to balance the budget.

With just 2 weeks left to go, the Pro SB5 campaign might have to turn to even greater desperate measures, or try to rely on the partisan Issue 3 campaign to at least hold its minimal base of support. One thing is for certain, with so much on the line, those favoring the repeal of SB5 are not going to let up in the final two weeks.

Poll	For SB5	Against SB5
PPP Mar 15th	31%	54%
Wenzel Apr 12th	38%	51%
Quinnipiac May 18th	36%	54%
PPP May 25th	35%	55%
Quinnipiac Jul 20th	32%	56%
PPP Aug 18th	39%	50%
Quinnipiac Sep 27th	38%	51%
PPP Oct 19th	36%	56%
Quinnipiac Oct 25th	32%	57%

NEW POLL: SB5 Headed for defeat

A new PPP poll just released shows that voters are being turned off by the dishonest campaign being waged by pro SB5 supporters. The margin has grown from 50-39 in August and is nowlarger 56-36.

The new poll finds strong bipartisan support. 30% of all republicans oppose SB5. 38% of people who describe themsevles as somewhat conservative oppose SB5, along with 70% of people who call themsevles moderate. Only 28% of women support SB5.

Poll	For SB5	Against SB5
PPP Mar 15th	31%	54%
Wenzel Apr 12th	38%	51%
Quinnipiac May 18th	36%	54%
PPP May 25th	35%	55%
Quinnipiac Jul 20th	32%	56%
PPP Aug 18th	39%	50%
Quinnipiac Sep 27th	38%	51%
PPP Oct 19th	36%	56%

New Poll: SB5 is a referendum on Kasich

A new poll released by Quinnipiac continues to show massive support for the repeal of SB5, indeed the margin of dissatisfaction with this middle-class busting law is growing and now stands at 56% - 32%.

Tracking our recent anaylsis showing that SB5 could turn Governor Kasich into a lame duck, the same poll shows his unpopularity rising to 50%

"Kasich has until 2014 when he presumably will face the voters, to turn his political fortunes around, but the timeline for the vote on SB5, which is obviously a referendum on the governor's agenda, is much shorter," said Brown. "A loss on SB5 would be a no confidence vote on the governor from the voters of Ohio."

Below are the polling trends for SB5.

Poll	For SB5	Against SB5
PPP Mar 15th	31%	54%
Wenzel Apr 12th	38%	51%
Quinnipiac May 18th	36%	54%
PPP May 25th	35%	55%
Quinnipiac Jul 20th	32%	56%

None of this means the effort to repeal SB5 should let up. Things could change quickly if supporters of repeal become complacent.

GOP Pollster puts SB5 repeal way ahead

Republican pollster Wenzel Strategies has the repeal of SB5 way ahead

Overall, 51% said they favor repeal, compared to 38% who said they would vote to keep the new law in place. Another 11% said they were unsure on the question.

According to the poll independents favor repeal by a 10 point margin.